Methodology
How VaultLogic scores sealed Pokémon product. Plain English, no black box.
Last updated June 14, 2026
Every product gets one number, 0 to 100. We call it Final Strength. It comes from five factors that, between them, decide what a sealed box is really worth: how scarce it is, how badly people want it, how old it is, how exposed it is to a reprint, and how fast it sells.
It is not a price target, and it is not a prediction. Think of it as a consistent read on quality, scored the same way every time. That lets you put a 2017 booster box and a brand-new Elite Trainer Box on the same scale and judge them against how you actually invest.
The five factors
Each factor is scored 0 to 100 on its own, then folded into Final Strength.
- Scarcity
- How tight the supply is. Print run, how long it has been out of print, and how much has already been ripped open for singles all move this number. Genuinely scarce product holds its value. Anything still stacked on shelves at MSRP does not.
- Flagship
- How hard the set itself pulls demand. A set built around a chase card people actually want scores high. A forgettable filler set scores low, no matter how nicely it is packaged. Reputation counts here as much as contents.
- Era Strength
- The age premium. Older generations carry nostalgia, and they have had years for sealed supply to quietly disappear. This score climbs as a product ages. Your Strategy Mode sets the pace: a defensive view rewards proven age sooner, a growth view makes it earn that premium first.
- Reprint Safety
- The reprint risk. Nothing sinks a sealed product faster than the publisher printing more of it. Out of print with no reprint in sight scores high. Anything actively being reprinted scores low. Higher is safer. This is the factor watching your downside.
- Liquidity
- How fast you could sell without taking a haircut. Booster boxes and popular Elite Trainer Boxes move quickly. Cases and niche items sit longer and trade at wider spreads. A high score means a short path to cash if you need it.
Strategy Mode shifts the weighting
The five factors never change. How much each one counts does. Strategy Mode sets that weighting, so the same box can read very differently to someone chasing upside than to someone protecting what they already own.
- Growth leans hard on Scarcity and Flagship demand. It accepts more reprint risk to chase upside.
- Balanced spreads weight more evenly across all five. It is the sensible default, weighing demand against protection.
- Defensive puts the bulk of its weight on Reprint Safety. It rewards what is least likely to lose value.
What the tiers mean
Final Strength sorts every product into three tiers. The cutoff lines move with your Strategy Mode, so a tier always means strong for how you invest right now, not strong in the abstract.
- Tier 1 · Core
- Your strongest holdings under the current strategy. The Tier 1 line sits at 80 in Balanced, 85 in Growth, and 90 in Defensive. These are the products the engine backs hardest.
- Tier 2 · Supporting
- Solid product, within 20 points of the Tier 1 line. Worth holding and adding to, just a notch below your core.
- Tier 3 · Speculative
- Everything below the Tier 2 line. Lower-conviction or higher-risk product. Fine in small doses, not where you anchor a collection.
Because the lines move with strategy, a product can change tiers when you switch modes. That is deliberate. A Tier 1 growth bet might only be a Tier 2 holding through a defensive lens. The rebalance tools read these tiers to suggest moves toward your target mix.